Pete Gillen, who coached Providence to the Elite 8 and took Xavier and Virginia to the NCAA Tournament, is a college basketball analyst on CBS Sports Network. Throughout the tournament, he appears on āNCAA March Madness 360ā and āNCAA March Madness Bracket Breakdown.ā As told to The Postās Steve Serby:
My Sour 16 is mercifully behind me. Iām not too ashamed to admit that I was desperate enough to solicit advice from my boys in New England:
Bud Light Pat ā itās the only beer he drinks ā is an ex-bookie. He pulled a hamstring and they got rid of him. Paulie The Bartender is great with horses, but heās shaky on hoops. And Three-Finger Willie … heās at his best at department stores.
Now Iāve got this Final Four wired.
National semifinals
Virginia over Auburn: A contrast in styles, Auburn wants a track meet, and Virginia wants a Viennese waltz. I did the Auburn game at UAB during the season for CBSSN, and UAB slowed the tempo and it drove Auburn crazy. Virginia will play so slow and deliberate that ball will feel like an icicle when the Tigers finally get it back.
DeāAndre Hunter has a big game and Virginia guards Kyle Guy and Ty Jerome stay hot, and Bryce Brown and Jared Harper go cold from downtown. Harper is quicker than Bill Raftery to last call (but not me). Virginia will have to build a wall in front of the rim, because no human alive, dead or yet to be born can stay in front of Harper. Cheat off some of the big guys ā Iām talking to you Mamadi Diakite ā and try to give Kihei Clark help.
Auburn will probably have to hit 14 3s to win this one, but Virginia is third in the country in 3-point defense (28.7 percent).
Auburn coach Bruce Pearl is like a Pentecostal preacher — he gets up on a pulpit and he just talks and he foams and he bleeds from the eyes. Tony Bennett is more matter-of-fact, somebody from a Fortune 500 company, IBM; heās poised and organized, and intelligent, classy. Both have done wonderful jobs.
The Tigers won one against North Carolina for injured Chuma Okeke, but the tears have dried up and reality sets in.
Prediction: Virginia 61, Auburn 57
Michigan State over Texas Tech: Tom Izzo has the best player on the court in Cassius Winston. He creates shots for himself and his teammates; I think heās the best point guard in the college ranks. I donāt think Davide Moretti or Matt Mooney can guard him because heās so quick, heāll go by them like the North wind, so it might have to be Jarrett Culver. I donāt think anybody can keep Winston out of the paint.
The Spartans beat Texas Tech down the court with their fast break and score in transition. And the Spartans own the glass with a ton of second shots, and the big men set up shop at the free-throw line. Jarrett Culver gets his 20 points ā heās a potential lottery pick ā but the Spartans lock up Mooney and Moretti. Aaron Henry will probably guard Culver.
The refs call the game fairly tight, so the Red Raiders canāt get away with their physical MMA style of defense. Itās a rock fight, and the film of this game wonāt be in the Louvre, but it will be like the Mona Lisa to the Spartans fans.
Texas Tech reminds you of the Pat Riley Knicks ā they grab and clutch, theyāll bite you in the kneecap, theyāll do anything, whatever it takes. Theyāre not dirty, but theyāre physical, they get away with as much as they can. Like the John Thompson Georgetown teams ā you had to wear a helmet to play against them, and take out some insurance.
Tariq Owens, what a find for the Red Raiders! Itās a shame St. Johnās lost him, thatās terrible. See, recruiting today, you gotta recruit guys every day. Some people drive around campuses, see if anybodyās frowning, they try to recruit āem. He must have frowned one day. He went from Queens and wound up in Lubbock, Texas.
Complementary guy, goes to the boards, blocks shots. They need a rim protecter to be an elite defensive team, and they are elite. He not only blocks shots, but he changes shots, he rushes shots and he prevents shots. Heās like Batman, just flapping his wings, getting ready to pounce.
Chris Beard learned a few tricks of the trade from Bob Knight. Heās taking off like a rocket, the way heās going. Heās just a hard-working, blue-collar guy from Texas who just gets up every day and just keeps pounding the rock. They do it with great toughness and physicality and blood, sweat and tears. He knows how to win.
Prediction: Michigan State 58, Texas Tech 56
Championship game
Michigan State over Virginia: Winston plays good, like a point guard should. Heās too quick and too strong for the Virginia defenders. Heās a lot like Izzoās 2000 national championship leader Mateen Cleaves. Itās like the quarterback in football. If you got Tom Brady, you can have Joe Bagadonuts with you, youāre still gonna win. The Cavaliers will probably start Clark, the little guy on him, but heās too powerful for him. I think heāll do a decent job, but I donāt think heāll be able to stop him. I think Winston is too quick for Hunter.
Virginia can win, but theyāll have to take charges on Winston, and Guy and Jerome have to get hot from 3-point land. And Hunter canāt be as quiet as he has been.
The physical Spartans control the paint at both ends. Xavier Hillman has a big game off the offensive glass, and Kenny Goins knocks down some 3s to spread out Virginiaās defense.
Henry slows down Hunter. Guy and Jerome knock down some 3s, but not enough of them.
Izzo wins his second national championship. His heartās on his sleeve. What you see is what you get, he cares about the players, heās a great competitor, heās a tough, hard-nosed guy. He had great mentors. You donāt see too many kids transfer out of his program. Heās a student of the game, heās very passionate, and his team reflects his passion.
Prediction: Michigan State 68, Virginia 64