For those of you who survived the Great GOP Tax Cut Massacre, things are finally looking up. The unemployment rate fell to 3.6 percent last month, the lowest rate since 1969. The economy added 263,000 jobs in April, beating expectations. Wages are rising.
In December 2017, Larry Summers, Bill Clinton’s former treasury secretary, warned that tax reform would kill more than 10,000 Americans every year. Summers was just one of the many fearmongers.
The same month, after cautioning that passage of tax cuts would portend “Armageddon,” then-House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi explained that the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act was “the worst bill in the history of the United States Congress.” Worse than the Fugitive Slave Act? Worse than congressional approval of the internment of Japanese Americans?
The tenor of left-wing cable news and punditry was predictably panic-stricken. After asserting that the cuts wouldn’t help create a single job, Bruce Bartlett told MSNBC that tax relief was “really akin to rape.” Kurt Eichenwald tweeted that “America died tonight.” “I’m a Depression historian,” read the headline on a Washington Post op-ed. “The GOP tax bill is straight out of 1929,” proclaimed the same writer. And so on.
None of this is even getting into the MSM’s straight news coverage, which persistently (and falsely) painted the bill as a tax cut for the wealthy. “One-Third of Middle Class Families Could End up Paying More Under the GOP Tax Plan, Experts Say,” noted Money magazine. An Associated Press headline read: “House Passes First Rewrite of Nation’s Tax Laws in Three Decades, Providing Steep Tax Cuts for Businesses, the Wealthy.” Yahoo News ran one piece after the next predicting doom.
The GOP tax cut’s “unstated goal is to leave the poor and vulnerable in America without the support of their government,” an ABC News “analyst” alleged. “It’s not enough to give money to rich people. Apparently, Republicans want to kick the poor and middle class in the face, too,” a columnist at the Washington Post noted, leaning hard into the stalest canards about tax policy.
Of course, the notion that allowing Americans to keep more of their own money is tantamount to “giving” them something is just transparently specious. Does any liberal really maintain that government owns all your income, and anything you keep is a gift? Tax rates were not handed to us on Mount Sinai, they were cooked up by economists. In truth, you only “give” taxes, you never keep. And the government only spends.
In any event, the idea that the poor or middle class are being shaken down by the cuts was even more of a dishonest claim. As Chris Edwards of the Cato Institute has pointed out, the reform bill’s largest tax cuts went to the middle class.
Even the liberal Tax Policy Center estimated that 65 percent of Americans paid less last year (6 percent paid more) thanks to tax reform. More than 44 percent of Americans pay no federal income tax. (Though corporate taxes are also a tax on consumers, so cuts benefited nearly everyone.)
That hasn’t stopped former Vice President Joe Biden. “There’s a $2 trillion tax cut last year. Did you feel it? Did you get anything from it? Of course not. Of course not. All of it went to folks at the top and corporations,” the presidential hopeful claimed the other day. It’s a fabrication.
Whenever you hear people bellowing about the wealthy benefiting most from across-the-board tax cuts, they always leave out the fact that the wealthy pay the vast majority of income taxes: The top 20 percent of income earners paid over 95 percent of individual income taxes in 2017, the top 10 percent paid 81 percent and the top 0.1 percent paid nearly a quarter of all federal income taxes.
Supply-side economics isn’t a panacea. We’re racking up debt, and we spend as if it doesn’t matter. Not all the underlying numbers are positive. There are thousands of economic unknowns that can’t be quantified or computed by economists, which is why the central planners and technocrats are almost always wrong.
And yes, when the recession finally comes, as it always does, liberals will once again blame tax cuts and deregulation. But to be this wrong this often deserves recognition.
Twitter: @DavidHarsanyi