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These factors combined to make NY’s deadly holiday blizzard a catastrophe

BUFFALO, N.Y. –  It was a snowstorm that halted responses by emergency services and forced drivers to seek shelter in stores. Still, despite all the warnings about the approaching storm, more than three dozen people were killed, and many others were rescued from the grips of what has been labeled a “once-in-a-generation” storm. 

To the surprise of many, it wasn’t Atlanta or Houston or even Charlotte that made headlines for being unprepared for a winter storm, but rather a city in the Northeast’s Snowbelt — Buffalo, New York.

The metro region averages around 95 inches of snow yearly, but experts believe the ingredients for a catastrophic storm aligned as few winter storms do. The impacts were too much to handle even for the best-prepared communities.

Light snowfall began days before the main event, which kicked off on Dec. 23 and lasted through Christmas Eve. During the heart of the blizzard, winds reached hurricane force, and snow piled up in feet, not inches.

Many labeled the holiday winter storm a “once-in-a-generation” event. Getty Images
During the heart of the blizzard, winds reached hurricane force, and snow piled up in feet. Getty Images

Unlike the November 2022 event that dropped more than 80 inches of snow in parts of the metro area, temperatures, the scope of the storm and the length of the impacts all outdid recent events and had many people comparing the system to the blizzard of 1977.

“I worked in the National Weather Service office in Buffalo for over 30 years, and this is probably right where the blizzard of ’77, the worst storm I’ve seen there during the wintertime,” said Fox Weather winter storm specialist Tom Niziol.

Many residents were out and about on the Friday before Christmas, preparing for the holiday weekend instead of power outages, zero visibilities and the threat of hypothermia.

New York Army National Guard soldiers assigned to the 827th Engineer Battalion clear snow at the Cheektowaga Senior Citizens Center in New York. ZUMAPRESS.com
The blizzard had conditions that lasted 37 hours and sent wind chills to more than 20 degrees below zero. National Weather Service

County and city leaders held news conferences warning of the impending disaster, but the hustle and bustle coincided with the start of blizzard conditions that lasted 37 hours and sent wind chills to more than 20 degrees below zero.

During the multi-day event, videos emerged from western New York of vehicles abandoned on roadways and people taking shelter in stores.

More than two dozen people spent part of their Christmas holiday in a Target store while they waited for visibilities to improve and damaging wind gusts to relax.

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During the storm, videos and pictures emerged of vehicles abandoned on roadways and people taking shelter in stores.
During the storm, videos and pictures emerged of vehicles abandoned on roadways and people taking shelter in stores. Getty Images
A vehicle is abandoned long a residential street.
More than two dozen people spent part of their Christmas holiday in a Target store while they waited for conditions to improve. Getty Images
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Good Samaritans help to push out a car along South Park Avenue in Buffalo.
Good Samaritans help to push out a car along South Park Avenue in Buffalo.Getty Images
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“It’s that combination of impacts that produces a catastrophe,” Niziol said. “Heavy snow and strong winds drifting it, to get drifts 10, 12, and 14 feet high. Arctic temperatures — you get stuck in your car, and now those temperatures and wind chills (are) below zero. You can’t see outside your car. What do you do? You panic. You try to get somewhere for help. You get stuck in a snowbank. The winds overcome you. And that’s where several people had died. The last feature here is the high-population area. It occurred in an urban setting, and this is where it all comes together to produce what I refer to as a weather catastrophe.”

On top of Mother Nature’s factors, some leaders in the Empire State questioned the local response to the disaster.

Erie County Executive Mark Poloncarz has been at the forefront of messaging and said there was likely more that local governments, including the city of Buffalo, could have done in preparing for the blizzard.

A Mobil gas station canopy lies tipped over after high winds and heavy snow along Lake Shore Boulevard. Getty Images
Tom Niziol said heavy snow, strong winds, Arctic temperatures and high-population areas created the deadly combination. Getty Images

“Storm, after storm, after storm, after storm, the city, unfortunately, is the last one to be open, and that shouldn’t be the case,” Poloncarz said during a Wednesday news conference. “It is embarrassing, to tell you the truth.”

Buffalo Mayor Byron Brown said there was little more that could have been done, considering the historic nature of the winter blast.

“People have been working around the clock since the beginning of this storm,” Brown said. “Some people handle that pressure a lot differently. Some keep working. Some keep trying to help the residents of our community, and some break down and lash out.”

Erie County Executive Mark Poloncarz said there was likely more that local governments, including the city of Buffalo, could have done in preparing for the blizzard. ZUMAPRESS.com

If climatology plays out, Buffalo likely has yet to experience its last snow event of the winter weather season, even though the region has already seen accumulations of 6 inches above what a typical year produces. The second-largest city in New York has already seen more than 101 inches of snow, with wintry precipitation possible through at least April.